According to latest Ericsson Mobile Report, mobile subscriptions will rise to 9.3 billion by 2019.
Wow, I thought that's a lot. Then the report went on to say that total mobile subscriptions currently stands at 6.6 billion.
Look at the explosion in data usage:
Johan Wibergh, Executive Vice President and Head of Business Unit Networks, discusses the latest Mobility Report:
Showing posts with label mobile internet. Show all posts
Showing posts with label mobile internet. Show all posts
02 December, 2013
03 January, 2013
Internet Trends from Mary Meeker
Mary Meeker, a partner at Kleiner Perkins Caulfield and Byers, published her '2012 Internet Trends Year-End Update'

The full presentation is on Slideshare, first seen on Venturebeat.
Here are some of the figures that caught my eye:
The full presentation is on Slideshare, first seen on Venturebeat.
Here are some of the figures that caught my eye:
- 2.4 billion Internet users with 8% year on year growth. 500 million of these (ie 20%) are in China - this only represents 40% of penetration in China.
- Let's contrast China's figures with the US: 250 million users with only 3% annual growth with a penetration of 78%.
- 29% of adults in the US now own either a tablet or an e-reader.
- Mobile devices now account for 13% of worldwide internet traffic - 4% in 2010. In India, mobile Internet traffic now exceeds desktop Internet traffic.
- The graph above shows the dominance of Windows and Intel in the 90s and early 2000s - and the explosion in Android devices.
- The number of landlines peaked in 2006 with 1.3 billion.
- In 2102, it is estimated that 2 billion bluetooth devices were shipped (up 87 times in 10 years); 1.5 billion Wi-fi devices were shipped (up 5 times in 4 years)
- By Q2 2013 it is esimated that the number of Smartphones + Tablets will exceed the number of PCs in the world.
- If 2,000 zettabytes was created and shared in 2011 then 8,000 zettabytes are estimated to be shared in 2015. (1 zettabyte = 1 trillion zettabytes).
- In 2006, Nokia Symbian operating system was shipped on 65% of smartphones (globally). By 2012, 65% of smartphones were shipped on Android and another 20% were shipped on iOS
24 December, 2012
Mainframes to client server to Web to mobile & apps
The article notes the parallel between today's mantra of "any time, any place, anywhere", referring to access on desktops and mobile devices to the trend in the late 80s / early 90s of client-server which shifted applications from mainframes and green screens to elegant Windows GUI rendering.
In both cases, the server (or the cloud, if you will) holds the data and the end device accommodates the rendering and the user experience.
The article mentions two problems of client-server era.
Problem 1: Over the years, of course, the realisation dawned that client-server brought with it as many problems as it solved. As client machines multiplied, developers ended up having to develop and test for a whole range of workstation specs and environments, and whenever something changed operations staff had to worry about getting new versions of software out to every desktop.
Problem 2: As support became more complicated and users discovered that an intelligent client with local storage meant they could create their own little offline empire, the overhead, costs and risks began to escalate.Neither of these have gone away. In fact Problem 1 is significantly worse today. With more Operating Systems (desktops and mobile devices) and much shorter release cycles (with the expectation of backward compatibility) and Bring Your Own Device. Oh and then throw in SaaS and complex interactivity between multiple data stores.
Problem 2 still exists - but I think it has generally been cracked as replication / synchronisation is so commonplace now. (BTW, I'm delighted to be corrected by those in the know - please comment below)
The rise of the Web
And do you remember the craze that lampooned client-server? Why, internet + web + HTML, of course, which in its early implementation, the client was dumb (or 'thin' in the parlance).'So much easier / faster to develop and deploy' was the cry from the development trenches.
History is repeating itself again.
18 September, 2012
Wi-fi predominant connection over mobile network for smartphone users
Interesting, smartphone users in other countries (US, Germany, France and Japan) prefer to connect via the mobile network.
- Other stats: 30% would prefer to pay for a fixed amount of data and then pay addition usage charges once they have reached the limit.
- Half the smartphone owners subscribe to less than 1Gb of data and only a fifth of respondents subscribe to unlimited data package.
What I find irritating about mobile operators is that they wish to charge users a different additional tariff for tethering another device (for me, a laptop or a netbook) to their mobile phone. I tether these device infrequently to my phone, but when I do, it is very useful, but my usage isn't predictable enough to justify the expense - particularly when swinging off someone's wi-fi usually works.
Naturally, mobile operators don't want to offer unlimited data - this resources isn't infinite. Such a policy is madness, as I have blogged a long time ago:
- Orange (at last) has a common sense data plan (April 2007)
- 3 launches X-Series - Mobile Broadband bundle - when will they learn?? (November 2006)
However, I would like to use what has been contracted without any gotcha clauses! David Halstead, technology, media and telecommunications partner at Deloitte in Cambridge recommends:
Mobile operatios should offer their customers a seamless connectivity experience including Wi-fi hotspots that their customers can use when they are out and about.
Hmm, this concept is known as fixed mobile convergence and has been around for ages!
Article first seen on Cambridge Network.
01 September, 2011
Mobile Internet penetration nearly at 50%
In a widely reported report from the Office of National Statistics (see BBC report), mobile internet usage has risen from 31% in 2010 to 45% in 2011.
Home usage represented 77% of households, up 4%. Has the market saturated? Very likely, but I strongly suspect there is another effect going: mobile substitution for fixed line internet connection at home. Why bother paying for two internet connections, when smart phone users can tether their home internet requirements to their phone.
Mad as a box of frogs (to quote a former colleague of mine), operators are still permitting unlimited internet connection on their phones. For the sanity of the industry and to protect their future, they must cap this to 500Mb or 1Gb per month (for example). Relying on reasonable use clauses in contracts is insufficient to protect the operators from data hungry customers. More importantly, operators set the correct paradigm: this resource isn't infinite and if you consume more of it, you need to pay more for it.
Internet not needed here
Other Tidbits
Home usage represented 77% of households, up 4%. Has the market saturated? Very likely, but I strongly suspect there is another effect going: mobile substitution for fixed line internet connection at home. Why bother paying for two internet connections, when smart phone users can tether their home internet requirements to their phone.
Mad as a box of frogs (to quote a former colleague of mine), operators are still permitting unlimited internet connection on their phones. For the sanity of the industry and to protect their future, they must cap this to 500Mb or 1Gb per month (for example). Relying on reasonable use clauses in contracts is insufficient to protect the operators from data hungry customers. More importantly, operators set the correct paradigm: this resource isn't infinite and if you consume more of it, you need to pay more for it.
Internet not needed here
Among the 23% of the population who remain offline, half said they "didn't need the internet."
The ONS report is the first since dot-com entrepreneur Martha Lane-Fox was appointed as the government's UK Digital Champion, with a brief to increase internet uptake.
In a statement, Ms Lane-Fox said: "That so many offline households don't see any reason to get online reinforces the importance of the digital champions network that the Raceonline2012 partners are creating."Bless Martha, what an evangelist, I'd be quite happy with reaching 77% of the population with total addressable market of 88%. Of the remaining 12% of the market, I would assume that they might have additional ways of getting on the super information highway (eg at work)??
Other Tidbits
While 71% of 16 to 24-year-old who went online said they used mobile broadband, just 8% of internet users aged over 65 made use of the newer technology.Only 71% of 16-24 year olds??? I find this figure unbelievable, at face value. This doesn't (shurely) indicate their usage. I suspect that this democratic borrows internet connectivity from others (eg the library or internet cafes) rather than owns the internet connection themselves.
The ONS survey also found a dramatic rise in the use of wifi hotspots - a seven-fold increase since 2011 - suggesting that the rise of 3G has done little to slow demand for free and paid-for wireless access.7 fold increase??? Really? I need to do more research, because I'm not seeing an order of magnitude increase. Comments anyone?
12 December, 2007
Big feature on QR Codes in major UK newspaper
The Sun, the most read newspaper in the UK (famous for its topless Page 3 girls), had a series of pages promoting QR code last week:
- What is in Keeley's hands?
- How to crack QR smart code
- QR craze started in Japan
- Pet Shop Boys' coded message
Mobile Content News reports that News International, the Sun’s owner, is watching the take-up of the service closely, and may roll it out across all of its titles if it proves successful. Naturally the Sun is looking at the advertising potential and have already signed up Ladbrokes, Sky and Twentieth Century Fox to the service.
Also from mobilestance.com:
Google has stated that Andriod will feature a basic, but functional “format agnostic” QR reader, to be preloaded on all devices shipping with the Android Open OS.The same link also contains this:
many of the major US carriers are getting behind the technology, giving the downloadable readers some fairly prominent deck placement over the next few quarters (sources confidential).Obviously, I still haven't researched how the legals in QR Codes outside of Japan have been overcome. Any pointers anyone??
05 December, 2007
Opera mini over one million downloads in 10 days
Selling like hot cakes!
Opera Mini 4, the newest version of the world's most popular mobile Web browser was released at the start of November. Overall, Opera Mini has already been embraced by more than 26 million cumulative users who view more than one billion Web pages every month.
From Opera's own press pages.
23 November, 2007
Google mobile objectives: Open Handset Alliance / Android

Google make a huge foray into the mobile arena, by providing a phone operating system for free 'Android'. It has launched Open Handset Alliance as the vehicle to facilitate its penetration into the mobile market.
See Sergry Brin introduce it:
Four handset manufacturers are on board: Samsung, HTC, Motorola and LG. Operators?? Sprint, Nextel, T-Mobile, China Mobile, Telefonica and Telecom Italia will sport the Google-powered phones - the first of them will be available late 2008.
This announcement is more than a poke in the eye with significant mobile OS providers such as Microsoft, Research in Motion, Palm and Symbian.
Clearly, everyone is feeling everyone else out with this new offering - 'of course, I'll participate, but I'm not going to jettison any of my existing partnerships that I have nurtured for years'.
I think this strategy is too early for Google - mobile internet isn't what 99% of users require out of a phone at the moment. Another desktop player, MS, took years to gain traction in the mobile sector. Admittedly, this strategy isn't home grown, it came from the acquisition of Android in 2005 - so it will have a better chance than MS, but still...
Google's behemoth is advertising - the mobile industry is a lot more sophisticated and VERY different to the internet. 'Free' isn't word that is trips off the tongue of mobile executives.
I reserve judgment. As I've said before, when people with lots of ammunition are wandering around the battlefield, be careful, they don't have to know too much about what they are doing to be very dangerous.
UPDATE: Here's a biting critique of Google's announcement from a report from Analysys:
As a strategy to bring fundamental change to the mobile industry, Android is way off target.No surprise that I agree with this viewpoint!
In reality, a free OS will not be sufficient incentive for major players to write off investments in established software platforms and adopt a platform that offers nothing new from a development perspective.
Manufacturers have a financial liability for their devices, and cannot contemplate the prospect of an open-source OS that could release a virus or trojan into the market. The required investment in OS security and stability would be high, as it has been for Android’s predecessors.
They (members of the Open Handset Alliance) can exploit the publicity if the initiative is successful, and minimise their exposure (as one of several players participating in numerous initiatives) if it fails. In cash terms, partners will invest little in R&D to support this programme.
Ultimately, Google’s primary strategic and revenue objective is to encourage the use of its search engine. If, by backing an OS alliance, Google can expand the scope of its search box placement by cementing relationships with established partners and developing deals with new partners, arguably Android will have done its job.
25 April, 2007
Orange (at last) has a common sense data plan
After years of being in the mobile business, then finally Orange UK looks to have discovered a common sense pricing model for consumers to use the mobile internet.
Bear in mind that 96% mobile revenues comes from plain ol' voice and text, so growing the 'proper' data component is pretty important. To date, pricing has been on a per MB or an 'all you can eat' basis.
I have blogged previously on why 3's gargantuan X-series package was indicative of amateur marketing. Looks like Orange have found a customer-centric solution.... wow, what a concept!
So here's why Orange's announcement will make total sense to users and I would anticipate the other operators will follow suit:
- Pay-as-you-go: Internet snacks – 40p for 15 mins with daily cap of £2 (or a daily £1 bundle).
- Contract: Internet “snacks” – 30p for 15mins with daily cap of £1.50 (or a “bundle” priced at £1 per day or £5 monthly for evening/ weekends or £8 monthly “anytime”)
10 January, 2007
iPhone announced
Blogged to death elsewhere (see Apple site and Steve Jobs keynote at MacWorld, but these are the things that made it fascinating:
- Most impressive is the touch sensitive screen and its capabilities has been baked into the operating system - slick scrolling & appearance of QWERTY keypad when you need it for example.
- iPhone switches from portrait to landscape mode based on the way when you rotate the device. A proximity sensor detects when you put the phone to your ear, so that you don't 'press' any on-screen buttons.
- Zooming in on photographs & webpages
- Sync with iTunes - seamless - kinda as you'd expect: music, podcasts, contacts, calendar etc
- Auto switching between EDGE (ie mobile) and wi-fi. (3G to come)
- Conversations in SMS Messages - I like the way that the history of sent and received emails displayed together and not separate Sent and Received folders.
Apple have filed 200+ patents for their iPhone.
Available in June in US (using Cingular exclusively); Q4 in Europe. Asia next year.
Cost starts at $500.
13 December, 2006
Mobile Growth & our digital identity at risk
This article commenting on ITU's Internet Report 2006: Digital.Life ties the increasing penetration of mobile phones (approx 2 billion today, rising to 3 billion within 2 years) with identity and privacy:
I fear that it will be parts of the world that are newly enfranchised to the mobile phone that will be most at risk - areas where the mobile phone is likely to give rise to mobile banking industry and where the difference between subsistence and poverty is a fine line.
Actually, if you look at the Slide Show of the report, there are a number of slides on the significance of identity. Worth a read.
But the report sounded a note of caution about the step into people's "digital lifestyles". Ms Srivastava said people were increasingly being tied into the flow of information over global electronic networks and were building a "digital identity".One substantial difference between internet and mobile technologies is that mobile phones have known identities (eg caller id and because they are more closely tied to billing relationships). However mobile devices become increasingly internet enabled, this advantage will become diluted.
"As our identity becomes a commodity so does our privacy. And that's where we are entering a dangerous area, making privacy only available at a cost," she said.
I fear that it will be parts of the world that are newly enfranchised to the mobile phone that will be most at risk - areas where the mobile phone is likely to give rise to mobile banking industry and where the difference between subsistence and poverty is a fine line.
Actually, if you look at the Slide Show of the report, there are a number of slides on the significance of identity. Worth a read.
07 December, 2006
3's X-Series pricing announced
Given that 3 is smallest of the 5 operators in the UK and, being a 3G network, needs to differentiate itself, it certainly has made a splash with its announcement of its new X-Series prices. (See my previous comments on why I think its bundling strategies are naive.)
X-Series Silver (£5 per month)
- Free Skype calls with Skype PC users and to any other Skype 3 mobile customer.
- Unlimited instant messages, to or from Windows Live Messenger or Yahoo! Messenger, to another X-Series handset, or a PC.
- Unlimited Internet browsing
- 6 month minimum contract
X-Series Gold (£10 per month)
- Access to a home TV with Slingbox (watching TV on your phone, setting your VCR)
- Access home PC with Orb (access your files on your PC using your phone)
- 12 month minimum contract
Buried in the press release is the announcement that from January 2007, there will be no international roaming voice call charges when using Skype on 3’s networks overseas.
23 November, 2006
Mobile Operators pin hopes on Mobile TV and HSDPA
Mike Grenville over at 160 Chars critiques Informa's 'Mobile Industry Outlook 2007' Report here. Informa concludes:
The industry thought that 3G would be the ARPU driver but now it is pinning its hopes on mobile TV and HSDPA.Mike comments that there was no mention of SMS - still growing at 30% per year in the UK for example.
What about WAP or mobile internet? This I think is the undiscovered gem (or rather discredited years ago in WAP's case).
See stats indicating the penetration of internet browsing at Mobile Internet Access Grows (thanks to 160 chars again).
3 launches X-Series - Mobile Broadband bundle - when will they learn??
3 announced the upcoming availability of the ‘X-Series’ bundle – a mobile broadband offering that includes:
- Skype – unlimited calls from their mobile phone (using data tariff, rather than voice minutes). On further reading, Skype service is NOT wVoIP - it's a circuit-switched call from the phone into a Skype VoIP gateway in 3's network according to this post.
- MSN Messenger
For an additional premium, 3 customers can use:
- Sling – watch their home television on their mobile (and set their home recorder - nice)
- Orb – access music, video and other content their home PC remotely
Love this sound bite from Frank Sixt, Group Finance Director of Hutchison Whampoa:
"We are tearing down the wall around the garden and going naked into the world outside."I can’t see this being a massive success for 3. Sure, it sounds cool and all and early adopters will point at this announcement excitedly, pontificating that the mobile internet has arrived and that one operator has seen the light etc.
But, it’s too early for this type of bundling – much better to drip feed these features onto the market. For the mass market, is there any precedent indicating the requirement for these features? For some, yes; for all, no; for all together: NO.
Users don’t want all these features – they want to trial a couple of them (with low barriers to entry, of course) and then to sign-up to the ones that are relevant to their needs. Presenting them as a bundle means that consumers think that they’ll be paying for features they don’t want - and won't try any ('Too much, too complicated, don't have time'), leaving a sour taste in everyone's mouth.
Much better to launch ‘Any two for £5 per month, free for the first 2 months’ or even catchier, ‘3 for 3 months for free’.
Will the other operators be impressed by 3’s announcement?
Nope, bundling too early means that everyone has to produce bigger and better bundles at ever lower costs OR other operators have to hope that this will be a damp squib (think of 3’s previous too-early-to-launch of video calling) and they can reset the market 9 months or a year later.
Overall result is that this may well stymie the market before it even exists.
Conclusion: Amateur marketing - 3 has p*ssed in its own pot and soiled it for everyone, including themselves.
10 November, 2006
General rant about mobile internet - good
Mike Rowehl has some excellent rants at the bottom of his post on this week's Mobile 2.0 conference in San Francisco earlier this week. He's bang on.
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